Tom Seeley

Floor i Floor: The lowest this entry can still finish on: everything banked, plus anything left that they cannot avoid scoring. Floor The lowest this entry can still finish on: everything banked, plus anything left that they cannot avoid scoring.

42.50

38.35 banked plus 4.15 your own teams must win off each other

Next week 9

≤ 1.75

at least 1.45

Ceiling i Ceiling: The highest this entry could still finish on — every remaining game won by the team you want, and the best possible January. It is a limit, not a forecast; nobody finishes on their ceiling. Ceiling The highest this entry could still finish on — every remaining game won by the team you want, and the best possible January. It is a limit, not a forecast; nobody finishes on their ceiling.

129.20

every remaining game plus the best possible January

Still on the table i Still on the table: Ceiling minus floor: how much of this entry's finish is still genuinely undecided. Still on the table Ceiling minus floor: how much of this entry's finish is still genuinely undecided.

86.70

ceiling minus floor

Chance of winning i Chance of winning: How often this entry finishes first across every simulated season. This is the chance of winning the pool outright — it is not the chance of making money, which is a much easier bar. Chance of winning How often this entry finishes first across every simulated season. This is the chance of winning the pool outright — it is not the chance of making money, which is a much easier bar.

3%

first place outright

Chance of cashing i Chance of cashing: How often this entry finishes somewhere that pays — the top 3. An entry can be very likely to cash and still unlikely to win, which is why both numbers are on the page. Chance of cashing How often this entry finishes somewhere that pays — the top 3. An entry can be very likely to cash and still unlikely to win, which is why both numbers are on the page.

7%

finishing in the top 3, which is what pays

Expected payout i Expected payout: The average of what this entry gets paid across every simulated season — each prize weighted by how often they finish in that place. It is a long-run average and not a cheque anybody will ever be handed: the real outcome is one of the actual prizes, or nothing at all. Expected payout The average of what this entry gets paid across every simulated season — each prize weighted by how often they finish in that place. It is a long-run average and not a cheque anybody will ever be handed: the real outcome is one of the actual prizes, or nothing at all.

$7

average winnings over every simulated season

Expected profit i Expected profit: Expected payout minus the $10 entry. Positive means the entry is worth more than it cost. Across the whole pool these add up to zero, because the pot is exactly what everyone paid in — one entry only shows a profit at another's expense. Expected profit Expected payout minus the $10 entry. Positive means the entry is worth more than it cost. Across the whole pool these add up to zero, because the pot is exactly what everyone paid in — one entry only shows a profit at another's expense.

-3

payout less the $10 entry

Projected final score i Projected final score: Where this entry's final total landed across every simulated season: the middle of the range, and the band that eight seasons out of ten fell inside. Projected final score Where this entry's final total landed across every simulated season: the middle of the range, and the band that eight seasons out of ten fell inside.

87

75–100 in eight seasons out of ten